I'm pretty sure something is still broken here, and it really does seem to vary by zone strangely. I just got parsing set up again tonight, but these are my first two trials, and they seem to be too far off to just be coincidence.
From my understanding of things Solosolki should have:
2 Innate Wizard Crit
7 Spell Casting Fury Crit
6 Fury of the Arcane Crit
8 Supreme Charm Crit
4 Crit Evocation Tomes
4 Mind Tomes
=31% chance to crit nuke? The only thing I wasn't sure on is the innate crit chance.
In these parses, I noticed that the parser does not count ultimate/primals as crits. At one point I thought Ultimates were 25% of crits, but the only numbers I can see now are 16% from Ultimate Blast and then some amount more from Fury of the Arcane. Maybe 6, since it adds 6 more normal crit. Anyway 22-25% sounds about right. Even assuming the high end of that, that means that if we add 33% more to the parse crit %, it should be a high estimate for actual crit rate.
My first parse was in The Murk
Spells Cast: 141
Criticals: 20
Crit % (Modified to account for Ults): 18.9%
Not a super long parse, but ~19% is a long way from the 31% I should see.
Second parse was in Rust
Spells Cast: 218
Criticals: 14
Crit % (Modified to account for Ults): 8.5%
Maybe you could write that first parse off as bad luck, but this second one is just way too far off to not think things are wrong.
As I said, those were just my first two parses since I got the program going, I did not cherry pick them. I will watch other zones/parses and post results. Additionally, what I was seeing felt fairly normal for what my crit rate has been since I started playing again. When I quit a year+ ago my wizard crit all the time. I had channeling back then, and should have been at about 35% crit rate, and it really felt like that. Now it feels like 10-20% of my spells are criticals, which is a massive dps nerf. It really does seem to vary by zone as well. In Thaz I seemed to have a good crit rate and parsed well, but in some other raid zones it was poor.